Monday, August 17, 2026
Tuesday, August 11, 2026
5 May to 24 August 2026: an Oct 1987-like terminal nonlinear valuation decrease.
The1987 crash followed a 29/70/69/39 day x/2.5x/2.5x/1.5x 4 phase fractal series. The 39 day 4th fractal of this series followed a 6/13/12/10 day x/2- 2.5x/2.5x/1.5x series with the final 10 days following a 2/4/4/3 day fractal series ::x/2x/2x/1.5x. 60 % of the 39 day peak to nadir drop occurred in the last two trading days.
The 5 May 2026 to 24 Aug 2026 11/27/27/15 day fractal series will likely have even a greater % drop in the last few trading days The 15 day final series is a 3/6-8/6-8 day y/2y-2.5y/2y-2.5y 3-phase fractal decay series.
The pricking of 2026 bubble is an internal one of gross private over-investment and overvaluation of assets (mostly AI) at the asset-debt system's absolute growth valuation limit. But the timing will also associated with oil shortages and escalating oil valuations. Unlike 1987, this collapse comes at the end of a 1982 13/33 year :: x/2.5x credit cycle. There will be lower asset lower lows after the initial 24 Aug 2026 nadir.
Monday, August 10, 2026
Wednesday, August 5, 2026
Tuesday, August 4, 2026
Tuesday, July 28, 2026
Current Update of 5 May 2026 11/27/22/16-17 day. :: x/2.5x/2x/1.5x SPX/ACWI 1982 13/33 year 2 June Peak Valuation and Incipient Crash
The above model was described on 22 July 2026 and depicted below on that date. A historical exhaustion. gap blow-off occurred between the close of 5 May and the opening of 6 May for the global equity index ACWI. Te predicted 11/27/22/16 day :: x/2.5x/2x/1.5x 4-phase Lammert Fractal Series contained the 2 June 2026 ACWI peak valuation.
This peak valuation represented the apogee valuation of a 1982 13/33 year :: x/2.5x 1st and 2nd Fractal Series. Private credit expansion and malinvestment in AI and AI related tech and infrastructure have created a mighty global equity bubble while 401 pension funds now representing 50% of American workers and 8.4 % average US deficit to GDP annual spending for 6 years have sustained the 33 year 2nd fractal to its maximum mathematical time 2.5x length of peak valuation.
Below is the current 28 July closing chart for ACWI and Space X with an initial crash low projected on 18-19 August 2026.
Below is the 1982 long term SPX chart:
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