As Ford Goes, So Goes The US Comsumer Economy,the World Economy, and the Composite Equity Market Economy ... A New Feb 2026 Fractal Terminal Growth Model

Sovereigns can print money and expand debt and create economic growth via war-related domestic production and service sector economic growth. But the consumers at the base of America's consumer driven economy are limited by their paychecks which limits their ability to maintain and expand debt obligation for the purchase of inflated goods and services. Ford is an American Company and a representative equity that is a proxy for American manufacturing and expandable American consumer debt. Under the Umbrella of 2009 11-12/29-30/30 Quarter :: x/2.5x/2.5x SPX and Wilshire Maximum Fractal growth, ending Jan-March 2026 and under the window of the 1982 13/33 year :: x/2.5x maximum growth and decline, Ford's 7 April 2025 x/2-2.5x/2x weekly and daily equity growth appears to be complete in early Feb 2026.

Final 1982 13/33 Year Fractal Global Equity Valuation Peak: 27 March 2026; 11-12/29-30/30 Quarters :: x/2.5x/2.5x From its March 2009 Nadir

While there will be counter valuation growth cycle after the 27 March 2026 ACWI Global Equity Valuation Peak, the 1982-2026 13/33 year :: x/2.5x 1st and 2nd fractal global equity crash will occur over a relatively short time frame. A Primer on Quantitative Time-based Self-Assembly Lammert Fractal Growth and Decay of Valuations of The Asset-Debt Macroeconomic System’s Composite Equities Qualitatively …on the longest time-unit cycles (years) (e.g. 1807 36/90/90/54-57 years :: x/2.5x/2.5x/1.5-1.6x and 1982 13/32 of 33/32-33/20 years x/2.5x/2.5x/1.5-1.6x) credit expands via governmental, corporate, and citizen debt; assets are produced and over-produced , overvalued and over-consumed; consumers reach maximum debt loads; the population of possible traders/invested are fully invested and composite equity asset valuations reach a singular fractal time-unit (minute, hour, day, week, month) peak valuation and thereafter undergo decay; recessions occur with weakening demand, interest rates fall; excess debt undergoes default and restructuring; individual and corporate bankruptcies occur; and composite equity (and commodity) asset valuations eventually reach a singular fractal time-unit nadir. The cycle thereafter repeats itself. On smaller time-unit fractal cycles (quarters, months, weeks, days, hours, 15-minute/ 5 and 1-minute) : trader/investor population saturation of asset buying occurs ending in a transient peak valuation .. followed by trader/investor population saturation end selling resulting in a transient nadir valuation. These peaks and nadirs occur in one of the two quantitative fractal patterns as above. Empirically composite equity asset valuation growth and decay cycles occur in 2 modes(laws) of mathematical deterministic self-organizing, self-assembly time-based fractal series: a 4-phase fractal series: x/2-2.5x/2-2.5x/1.5-1.6x and a 3-phase fractal series: x/2-2.5x/1.5-2.5x In the 4-phase fractal series sequential elements are termed: the 1st, 2nd, 3rd, and 4th fractals and in the 3-phase fractal series: the 1st, 2nd, and 3rd fractals. The 2nd fractal is characterized by terminal gapped nonlinear lower lows between the 2nd fractal’s terminal 2x and 2.5x time period. (These gapped nonlinear lower lows can be observed in weekly valuation units for the DJIA between 1929 and 1932, the terminal portion of the US 90 year 2nd fractal; within the last three day before the terminal 5 August 2024 139 day 2nd fractal low occurring in an interpolated ACWI/SPX 27 October 2023 55/139/135-136 day (SPX-ACWI respectively) :: x/2.5x/2.5x valuation maximum growth series ending 18/19 February 2025: and can be expected within the last months on a daily and weekly basis of the current 32 of 33 year 2nd fractal of the interpolated 1982 13/32 of 33 year 1st and 2nd fractal series. (The 27 October 2023 dominant fractal series appears to have a 119 first fractal base, whereas the 55/139/136 day 3 phase growth series was a secondary interpolated series). With the exception of the 3rd fractal in the 4-phase series whose fractal grouping is determined by its terminal high or final lower high peak valuation, fractals (fractal groupings) are determined by the nadirs of the first and last time unit in the grouping with all intervening valuations above the connecting nadir trend-line. Current 1982 -2026 Self-Assembly Fractal Model: 1982 -2026 Terminal Fractal Growth 1982 to 2026: 52/126 of 130 Quarters :: x/2-2.5x

Terminal Fractal Growth: 11-12/29-30/30 Quarters :: x/2.5x/2.5x

Oct 2023 Terminal Fractal Growth: 120/243/244 days :: x/2x/2x

7 April 2025 Terminal Fractal Growth: 53/107/86 days :: x/2x/2x'; x'= 53 divided by 2.5

The 1982 to Feb/Mar 2026 :: 13/33 year :: x/2.5x Composite Equity Blow-off Peak Valuation And Thereafter, Crash Collapse Devaluation

Updated 12 Jan 2026 … The SPX, proxy for the global composite equity valuation, is observed to be completing a 3-phase 2009 12/29/30 Quarterly :: x/2.5/2.5x maximum Fractal Growth Series and a 1982 to 2026 52/126 of 128-130 :: x/2.5x Quarterly Blow-off Valuation and Crash series.

The 1982 to 1994 52 Quarter series is composed of a 11/26/17 Quarter :: x/2-2.5x/1.5-1.6x 3-phase fractal growth series and the 1994 to 2026 valuation growth is composed of two 3-phase fractal series: a 1994 10/25/25 Quarter :: x/2.5x/2.5x series ending in 2009 and a 12/29/30 Quarterly series peak growth ending in Feb- Mar 2009. The 80-90% Crash from the 52/126th Quarter x/near 2.5x peak valuation will be precipitous – over 2 to 4 Quarters. Is there a deterministic self ordering of composite equity valuation growth and decay in the Asset-Debt Macroeconomic System? It appears so. Equity, commodity, crypto Valuations grow by debt expansion, primarily, by governmental debt, which unlike corporate and citizen debt, is facilitated by direct money/debt printing. Accelerated governmental debt to GDP % expansion in the last 20 years has been unprecedented relative to other in peace time conditions. Valuations of equities, commodities, and crypto have directed benefited from governmental debt expansion. The 3-phase and 4-phase self-ordering self assembly fractal laws of growth and decay of asset valuations have been described before. A maxim can be added to these two laws: equity valuation growth in a political system strongly favoring equity investment by individual and corporate tax advantage and by malinvestment corporate buy back legislation, will grow to the near maximum fractal time frame. The system is near that maximum time frame of valuation and peak growth. After a 23 Oct 2023 55/139/135=6 :: x/2.5x/near 2.5x peak growth, a 5/12/12/7 day decay ending 7 April 20205 is observed. Equity, commodity, and crypto valuations grow by debt expansion, primarily by governmental debt, which unlike corporate and citizen debt, is facilitated by direct money/debt printing. Accelerated governmental % deficit to GDP spending in the last 20 years has been unprecedented averaging 2-3 times higher than other peace time era periods. Maximum 2009 to 2026 12/29/30 quarterly :: x/2.5x/2.5x growth of equities, commodities, and crypto have been a direct of governmental debt expansion with equity valuations 122% of GDP. The 3-phase and 4-phase self-ordering self assembly fractal laws of growth and decay of asset valuations have been well described. A maxim can be added to these two laws: equity valuation growth under the umbrella of high % deficit spending to GDP, a political and taxing system strongly favoring equity investment with individual and corporate tax advantage and with policies favoring malinvestment corporate buy-backs, will grow to the near maximum fractal time frame. The remarkable 2025 and ongoing early 2026 blow-off valuation of gold and silver denominated in US dollars is likely a reflection of the current administration’s policies which are directly anti-institutional long-term US economic, geopolitical, domestic and international legal policies. The system is near that maximum time frame of equity and precious metals peak valuation growth. After a 23 Oct 2023 55/139/135 :: x/2.5x/near 2.5x peak growth, a 4-phase 5/13/12/7 day :: x/2-2.5x/2-2.5x/1.5x decay fractal series ending 7 April 2025 is observed.

The ongoing 7 April 2025 3-phase fractal growth series to 5 Jan 2026 is shown below:

The self ordering of the 53 day first fractal according to Lammert self-assembly Fractal Laws of is shown below:

The self ordering of the 107-108 day second fractal according to Lammert self-assembly Fractal Laws is shown below.

The projected 20 November 3rd Fractal Peak Valuation Growth is shown below:

7 April 2025 53/108 day 21 Nov 2025 Incipient 3rd Fractal Growth Confirmed

7 April 2025 53/108 day 21 Nov 2025 Incipient 3rd Fractal Growth Confirmed

The global ACWI equity index made a new high valuation today confirming the end of a 108 day 2nd Fractal on 21 November 2025 and a coincidental 21 November 2025 incipient 3rd fractal growth of a self assembly 7 April 2025 53/108/65-86 day :: x/2-2.5x/1.5-2x' terminal 3 phase daily fractal series ... concluding growth of a 1982 13/33 year 1st and 2nd fractal series and concluding growth of a 2009 11-12/29-30/30 quarter :: x/2.5x/2.5x terminal maximum fractal growth series. The current projection for the 21 November 2025 first of two subfractal growth series is 6/13/12 of 12-14/9-10 days. 3rd Fractal weakness will be evident if the final 9th or 10th day of the 4th fractal falls below the 108 day 2nd fractal trend line.

The Global Equity , Gold, Silver, Crypto 7-9 January 2026 Initial Crash Nadir? An Oct 1987 Nonlinear Occurrence?

How large will the non-sovereign-debt asset classes' crash devaluations be over the next 4-6 trading days? If a lower low of the SPX 7 April 2025 nadir is not exceeded, a probable 2026 3rd fractal higher high SPX valuation (greater than the 26 Dec 2025 ) will be made in the 1982-2026 :: 13/33 year 1st and 2nd Fractal Series, an interpolated component of the 1807 US Hegemonic 1807 36/90/90/54-57 year :: x/2.5x/2.5x/1.5x-1.6x 4 phase fractal series.

The current Lammert Fractal model of the 53-56/138-140 day :: x/2.5x 1st and 2nd fractal time-based self-assembly of the SPX, the global equity proxy, since the 7 April 2025 low is depicted above. In this model, 4 days (x') of preceding decay serves as an initiating fractal base to the 7 April 2025 initial (2.5x')10 day ::2/4/4/3 :: x/2x/2x/1.5x initial first fractal for a (4)/10/25/20 day first fractal series ending 23 June 2025. In this Lammert Fractal model there are 4 identified subfractal series composing the 138-140 day 2nd fractal: a 29 day fractal subseries/ a (newly identified) 50 day fractal subseries , a 30 day fractal subseries , and a 28 of 32-34 day fractal subseries. The 50 day second fractal subseries is observed best with the DJIA and is composed of of a 7+/16/18/12 day :: x/2-2.5x/2-2.5x/1.5x fractal series.

The 32-34 day 4th fractal subseries is composed of a 4/9/8 day :: x/2-2.5x/2x fractal series and a 2/4/3 day :: x/2x/1.5x fractal series to the SPX peak valuation on 26 December 2025. This 2/4/3 to peak valuation series is then completed as a 2/4/4 day :: x/2x/2x series which initiates a 26 Dec 2/4/4 day crash decay series ending 7 Jan (or a 2/4-5/4-5 day series or a 2/4/4/3 series) ending 8-9 January 2026. An alternative fractal interpretation is a 3-phase 7 April 2025 SPX: 34/69/83 day :: x/2x +1 day)/near 2.5x peak valuation on 26 December 2025 with the same decay crash fractal sequence. A final blow-off in GM, gold, and silver suggests that 26 December 2025 for the peak valuation for the 1982 13/33 year 1st and 2nd fractal cycles.

The 1982 13/33 Year :: x/2.5x First and Second Fractal Initial January 2026 Global Equity Crash

From March 2009 SPX Equity growth has grown to its maximum x/2.5x/2.5x fractal limit :: 11-12/29-30/29 quarters with the 29 quarter 3rd fractal 29 consisting of 6/12/13 quarters :: x/2x/2.5x and 16/32/39 months :: x/2x/2.5x. The SPX 16/32/39 monthly terminal 29 quarter 3rd Fractal growth pattern has self similarity to the SPX 7 April 2025 terminal near maximum terminal growth 34/69/83 day :: x/2x/2.5x 26 Dec 2025 current peak valuation. An 1987 type of crash is expected over next 7 trading days.

The Great December 2025 Incipient Crash: 12 Aug 1982, 13 Oct 2022, 7 April 2025 1st and 2nd Fractal Series - Synergistic - 2x to 2.5x Time Frame Incipient Second Fractal Nonlinearity12 Aug 1982, 13 Oct 2022, 7 April 2025 1st and 2nd Fractal Series - Synergistic - Self-Assembly 2x to 2.5x Time Frame Icipient Second Fractal Nonlinearity

From the Economic Fractalist 15 May 2005 Mainpage Re: 2nd Fractals (Cycles): : "A sudden nonlinear drop in the last 0.5x time period of the 2.5X is the hallmark of a second cycle and characterizes this most recognizable cycle." ..."This means that the second cycle can last anywhere in length from 2x to 2.5x." In the Window of Power Law Distribution 2nd Fractal Asset-Debt Macroeconomic System Self-Organized Criticality:

The original 7 April 2025 53/133-134 day :: x/2.5x 1st and 2nd fractal series ending 30-31 December 2025 is the correct fractal model with the incipient 1982 13/32 0f 33 year :: x/2-2.5x crash in the final trading days of December 2025. On 20 November 2025 the asset debt system self-ordered a SPX 5/12 of 12-13/13-12 day :: x/2-2.5x/2-2.5x fractal series to initiate the terminal portion of the 12 Aug 1982 13/32 of 33 year :: x/2.5x 1st and 2nd fractal series; the terminal portion of a 13 Oct 2022 55/113 of 138 week :: x/2-2.5x 1st and 2nd fractal series, and the terminal portion of a 7 April 2025 53/122 of 133-134 day :: x/2-2.5x 1st and 2nd fractal series. The nonlinear crash will be during the last trading days of the December 2025 12-13 day 3rd fractal.

The incipient end December global equity crash will be an affirmation for those economists interpreting the copious data as showing extreme weakness of the American consumer, the American consumer-based economy, and the world economy. It will be a wake-up call for those who measure the economy primarily by equity market performance. The 10 Oct to 20 November 2025 day subfractal series is now observed as a 6/13/13 day ::x/2-2.5x/2-2.5x fractal series with trend lines better seen on SPX futures. While the SPX has not exceeded its 29 Oct 2025 peak valuation, the Wilshire 5000 and the global ACWI, propelled by rotation of money into the 'safer stocks of the DJIA' had valuation peaks on 11 and 12 Dec 2025. Will the end December 2025 initial lower low nonlinearity reach below the 7 April 2025 valuations? This nonlinearity is the beginning of about a 45 week progression to a final lower low valuation with an expected 80-90 % loss of equity valuation. There will be sharp valuation counter growth periods within this overall decay time frame. Added 16 Dec 2025. Blow-off intrahigh valuation for GM and gap lower valuation for the 92 trillion dollar equivalent ACWI ... The last of the speculative money has rotated into the 'safest equities and major banking equities with blow-off valuation in both areas. Paradoxically the 92 trillion global equity composite ACWI had a gap down lower on 16 December, rising during the day but unable to fill the gap. Retrospectively both the 2-phase and 3 phase 7 April models may be correct with an initial targeted crash nadir on 2 or 5 Jan 2026.