THE WEEKLY AND DAILY FRACTAL CASE FOR AN UNEXPECTED FURTHER CRASH DEVALUATION WITH A SECOND FRACTAL NADIR ON 23 AUGUST 2024

In the x/2-2.5x/2-2.5x/1.5-1.6 four phase time based deterministic self ordering fractal model of Lammert asset-debt saturation macroeconomics, the 139 day 2nd fractal low on 5 August 2024 would nicely fit the standard model described in the 2005 web page with later modification and identification/description the US 1807 36/90/90/54 year and further identification of the 3 phase fractal growth and decay x/2-2.5x/1.5-2.5x. All of macroeconomic’s systems self assembly valuation growth and decay deterministic time ordering can be described in the context of the 4 phase and the 3 phase self assembly fractal series. 5 August 2024 is day 139 of a first and second daily fractal series of 59/139 days :: x/2x-2.5x and from the actual daily nadir valuation on 27 October 2023 to 5 Aug 2024 : 55/139 days. :: x/2.5x.

An alternative model can be observed in the weekly fractal series starting 23 October 2023 with a 13/32 of 32 week series ending this week. Week 26 is the peak of a 13/26 of 32 week series containing 16 July 2024, the unadjusted inflation peak valuation for the World index ACWI. The 26 week peak valuation is composed of a 5/10/13 week :: x/2x/2.5x growth series staring on 17 January 2024. The completion of this 4-phase fractal series would be 5/10/13/7 weeks.

The daily fractal series correlate to the 5/10/13/7 week 4 phase fractal series and the subfractal series that make up the first 59 day first fractal and the possible 153 day second fractal are shown below.

If 5 August 2024 was the nadir for the second fractal and the beginning of third fractal valuation growth and if there is no further second fractal crash devaluation in the equity, commodity and crypto markets ending about 23 August 2024, it will be difficult for the federal reserve to lower the fed funds rate in September 2024. An equity, commodity. and crypto crash over the next three trading would be accompanied by markedly lower US debt instrument interest rates as money exiting these assets will flow into the debt market.