27 September 2024 was the final higher high and lower high peak valuations for the ACWI Global Equity Index and the Nikkei, respectively. A 10-11 day crash 4th fractal is now expected from that peak ending 10-11 October 2024.

The 5 August 2024 to 10-11 October 2024 (10 week) 4-phase 2/4/4/3 week :: x/2x/2x/1.5x weekly fractal series correlating to a 8/17/16/10-11 day :: x/2-2.5x/2-25x'/1.5x' 4 phase daily fractal series for the ACWI and a 7/17/15/10-11 day :: x/2-2.5x/2-2.5x/1.5x series for the Nikkei had terminal higher high and lower high peak valuations respectively, on 27 September 2024, the 16th and 15th respective days of the third fractals. A 10-11 day crash is now expected from that peak ending 10-11 October 2024. This 10 week base fractal will serve as the first base decay fractal in a 4-phase fractal series ending the first or second week of October 2025.

THE ACWI 100 + trillion dollar global equity ETF 5 AUGUST 2024 TO 11 OCTOBER 2024 8/17/17/10 DAY :: X/2-2.5X/2.5X'/1.5X' CRASH FRACTAL SERIES

The Nikkei will complete a 5 August 2024 8/18/14 day :: x/2-2.5x/2x' growth fractal series on Monday 30 September 2024 while the ACWI and Western composite equities will complete an 8/17/17 day :: x/2-2.5x/2.5x' growth fractal series on 30 September 2024 with extension of the previous fractal model’s (2x) 14 day 3rd fractal to 2.5x' or 17 days. (The Nikkei had 5 trading holidays during this time frame.) The ACWI crash low (and Nikkei low) is expected on Friday 11 October 2024 following a 5 Aug 2024 to Friday 11 October 2024 4-Phase Lammert Crash Fractal Series: 8/17/17/10 day :: x/2-2.5x/2.5x’/1.5x’.

THE GLOBAL INDEX ACWI 5 AUGUST 2024 TO TUESDAY 8 OCTOBER 2024 8/17/14/10 DAY :: X/2.5X/2X’/1.5X’ :: 2/4/4/3 WEEK :: X/2X/2X/1.5X 4-PHASE FIRST BASE LAMMERT CRASH FRACTAL FOR THE INTERPOLATED 1982 13/32 YEAR FRACTAL SERIES

In 1929 a 3-phase 5/10/12 week :: x/2x/2.5x or 25 week Lammert first base crash fractal contained the Sept 1929 SPX peak and the November 1929 SPX crash low valuation. This was the asset-debt macroeconomic system’s mathematically self-assembled first base fractal initiating a decay fractal series for the completion of an US 1807 36/90 year x/2.5x first and second time-based fractal series ending in 1932. The 5 August to 8 October 2024 2/4/4/3 week or 10 week first base fractal will constitute the mathematically self-assembled first base fractal initiating a decay fractal series for an interpolated 1982 13/32 year first and second fractal series ending in 2025. ACWI is summation global equity index valued at over 100 trillion dollars. It contains the US Wilshire worth 57.5 trillion dollars and the Shanghai, Nikkei, Indian, HangSeng, and Canadian et. al. exchanges worth 10, 6, 5, 4, and 3 trillion, et. al., respectively. Since October 2023, the ACWI is following (the asset debt macroeconomic system has self-ordered self-assembled) a 17/33** of 36 week first and second series with an interpolated shorter 13/31** week series, the latter ending 5 August 2024 with nonlinear gapped lower lows on the daily charts characterizing the end of the 31** week second fractal.

The longer dominant Oct 2023 17 week (74 day) fractal series can be discerned easily via the 10 trillion dollar equivalent Shanghai composite whose 16 week(75 day) first fractal has a negative slope. Its second fractal of current/y 32 weeks is deteriorating and near the low of the 16 week 1st fractal and within 2 % of the Shanghai March 2020 low. The valuations are both consistent with a deflationary collapsing property bubble, the most over-produced, over-valued, and overowned in recorded history. (The HangSeng has a similar profile with a 8 October 2024 expected collapse to 10000)

The ACWI made a record valuation high on 19 Sept 2024 and is expected to make another on 25 September 2024 which is day 14 of a 8/17/14/10 day : x/2-2.5x/2x’/1.5x’ crash fractal series. From Wednesday 25 September 2024 to 8 October 2024 global markets are expected to crash forming the initial Lammert 10 week first base fractal for the decay fractal series to complete the 32 year second fractal of the 1982 13/32 year first and second fractal series, interpolated in the US 1807 36/90/90/54 year :: x/2.5x/2.5x/1.5x fractal series and ending 2074.

Interpolated Fractal Series to the 7 October 2024 low: 5 August 7/17/15/10 days and 13 September 3/8/8 days

While the US Wilshire 5000 on 13 Sept 2024 was within 1 % of its 16 July 2024 high valuation and over 125% above its March 2020 low, the 13 Sept 2024 Chinese Shanghai composite was within 2% of its March 2020 nadir low with a breach of that low expected within two trading days. The Chinese markets are under severe deflationary pressure from the collapsed and further collapsing property bubble with grossly excessive supply and two residential units available for every potential occupant. For the ACWI world index two interpolated larger length fractal series are evident: a 27 October 2023 74/148 day :: x/2x 1st and 2nd fractal (with the 148 day second fractal starting 13 February 2023) and a 13 Feb 2023 47/102 of 118 day :: x/2.5x series ending 7 October 2024. 5 August 2024 was the end date of yet another 1st and 2nd fractal starting 27 October 2023 54/139 days :: x/2.5x with the characteristic 2nd fractal gapped lower low nonlinearity between days 137 and 138 and between days 138 and 139.

From 5 August 2024, using as a global proxy the French CAC composite, an ongoing 7/17/8 of 15/10 day ::x/2.5x/2x/1.5x 4-phase fractal series and ending 7 October 2024 can be observed and modeled. 13 Sept 2024 is day 148 or 2x of the 27 October 74/148 day :: x/2x 1st and 2nd fractal which places the 2nd fractal in the window of 2nd fractal nonlinearity. A 13 Sept 2024 3/8/8 day :: y/2.5y/2.5y 3-phase fractal decay series would coincide with the terminal portion of the 5 August 2024 7/17/15/10 4-phase decay series and ending with both ending on 7 October 2024.

THERE ARE TWO IDENTIFIABLE OCTOBER 2023 INTERPOLATED FIRST AND SECOND WEEKLY AND DAILY: X/2-2.5X FRACTAL SERIES. 5 AUGUST 2024 REPRESENTED THE FIRST SERIES LOW: 8 OCTOBER 2024 IS THE SECOND SERIES GLOBAL EQUITY CRASH LOW

There Are Two identifiable October 2023 Interpolated First and Second Weekly and Daily x/2-2.5x Fractal series. 5 August 2024 represented the first interpolated fractal series’s low: 8 October 2024 is the second interpolated series’s Global Equity Crash Low.

It is the hypothesis of this website that the growth and decay of the asset-debt macroecomic system’s asset valuations self assemble in a deterministic and optimal mathematical time-based fractal manner under two simple self-ordered fractal ‘laws’ or modes: a 4-phase x/2-2.5x/2-2.5x/1.5-1.6x time-based fractal series and a 3-phase time-based fractal series: x/2-2.5x/1.5-2.5x. The arbitrary nomenclature within the 4 phase series is as follows: x is termed the first fractal; 2-2.5x is the second fractal; 2-2.5x is the third fractal, and 1.5-1.6x is the fourth fractal. In the 3-phase series x, 2-2.5x, and 1.5-2.5x are respectively termed the first, second, and third fractals. In the 4-phase fractal series, the third fractal ends on a high or lower high valuation, whereas the first, second, and fourth fractals end on the lowest valuation of the fractal grouping. In a three phase series, all three fractals end on a low valuation. With the exception of the third fractal in a 4 phase fractal series, fractal groupings are determined by initial time unit low and the terminal time unit low. The second fractal in both the 4 phase and 3-phase fractal series has as its hallmark characteristic, a nonlinear lower low gap decline in the last 2x to 2.5x time frame of the series – identifiable on the daily, hourly, and minutely time scales and sometimes on the weekly scales in longer (monthly) fractal series. With sequential unprecended QE started in March 2020 and thereafter unprecedented QT starting late 2021 The macroeconomic system’s equity valuations grew in a 8-9/24/24 month :: x/2.5x/2.5x fractal fashion from March 2020 to August 2024 completing the first, second, and third fractals of a 4-phase series. A characteristic nonlinear lower low gap can be seen on a weekly basis during the second week of June 2022 during month 21 of the 24 month second fractal (between 2x and 2.5x of the 9 month base March 2020 first fractal). There are two observable interpolated October 2023 Weekly and Daily First and Second Fractals identifiable by the asset-debt system’s second fractal nonlinear gapped lower lows terminal second fractal endings. 5 August 2024 represented the first interpolateds series low: 8 October 2024 is the second interpolated series Global Equity Crash Low. The elegantly simple self assembly fractal math with be shown in subsequent postings.