Saturday, September 14, 2024

Interpolated Fractal Series to the 7 October 2024 low: 5 August 7/17/15/10 days and 13 September 3/8/8 days

While the US Wilshire 5000 on 13 Sept 2024 was within 1 % of its 16 July 2024 high valuation and over 125% above its March 2020 low, the 13 Sept 2024 Chinese Shanghai composite was within 2% of its March 2020 nadir low with a breach of that low expected within two trading days. The Chinese markets are under severe deflationary pressure from the collapsed and further collapsing property bubble with grossly excessive supply and two residential units available for every potential occupant. For the ACWI world index two interpolated larger length fractal series are evident: a 27 October 2023 74/148 day :: x/2x 1st and 2nd fractal (with the 148 day second fractal starting 13 February 2023) and a 13 Feb 2023 47/102 of 118 day :: x/2.5x series ending 7 October 2024. 5 August 2024 was the end date of yet another 1st and 2nd fractal starting 27 October 2023 54/139 days :: x/2.5x with the characteristic 2nd fractal gapped lower low nonlinearity between days 137 and 138 and between days 138 and 139.
From 5 August 2024, using as a global proxy the French CAC composite, an ongoing 7/17/8 of 15/10 day ::x/2.5x/2x/1.5x 4-phase fractal series and ending 7 October 2024 can be observed and modeled. 13 Sept 2024 is day 148 or 2x of the 27 October 74/148 day :: x/2x 1st and 2nd fractal which places the 2nd fractal in the window of 2nd fractal nonlinearity. A 13 Sept 2024 3/8/8 day :: y/2.5y/2.5y 3-phase fractal decay series would coincide with the terminal portion of the 5 August 2024 7/17/15/10 4-phase decay series and ending with both ending on 7 October 2024.

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