The Deterministic Self-ordering Fractal Growth Pathway to the 11 Aug 2025 Global Equity Peak Valuation and the Crash Fractal Pathway to the Initial 10 Sept 2025 Crash Nadir Low

On 3 Sept 1929, the DJIA average reached a peak valuation of 381.17. Ninety-six years later (97 by fractal count) on 23 July 2025, the DJIA reached a peak valuation of 45073.63, about 118 times the previous century’s earlier peak valuation. The average US house in 1929 was about 6000 US dollars and in 2025 about 515000, a comparable 85.5 times fold increase in valuation. The DJIA valuation peak in 1929 was near the close of a US 1807 to 1932 :: 36/90 year first and second fractal series … and the peak valuation in 2025 near the close of a US 1982 to 2026 13/33 year first and second fractal interpolated series, part of the greater US 1807 36/90/90/54 year :: x.2.5x/2.5x/1.5x 4-phase fractal series with a 90 year third fractal peak in Nov 2021, propelled yet higher in valuation in 2024 and 2025 by unprecedented US peacetime deficit to GDP Covid spending of about 15% and 12%, respectively, in 2020 and 2021. Global equity peak valuation, represented by ACWI, which includes Nvidia, the latter now the #1 market cap company at 4.46 trillion, about 15% higher than #2 Microsoft, reached an intraday peak valuation (similar to Nvidia’s ending daily close) on 8 August 2025 with an expected final minutely and hourly gapped peak blow-off valuation on 11 August 2025 for both ACWI and Nvidia. Going into a population-overdebt-burdened-related, asset-highest-ever-valuation-related, highest-consumer-product-cost(except vehicle fuel), tariff-and-US consumer-paid-for-related … recession … Nvidia’s PE ratio is currently about 59 and Microsoft’s 38, both perfectly valued on a daily basis, but grossly overvalued in the long term credit cycle basis. From the 27 Oct 2023 low the Global Equity ACWI propelled by historical deficit to GDP annual credit/money expansion followed a 3 phase x/2.5x/2.5x maximum valuation growth fractal progression of 55/139/136 days followed by a 4 phase 5/13/11/7 day decay fractal series ending 7 April 2025. Since 7 April 2025, valuation growth has occurred in two 3-phase fractal series: a 10/25/20 day :: x/2.5x/2x series ending 23 June 2025. And from this 23 June relative nadir a 7/15/14 of 15 day 3-phase growth fractal series has taken the ACWI to a double top peak valuation on 8 August 2025. The 2nd 15 day 2nd fractal subseries is a curvilinear blow-off of 4/8/5 days :: x/2x/1.5x’. The final 14 of 15 day 3rd fractal subseries was self-assembled into a 3/7/6 of 7 day fractal subseries with a characteristic nonlinear lower low gap between day 6 and 7 of the 7 day 2nd subfractal and starting 1 Aug 2025 a self-ordered 6 day growth series to 8 August ensued. A final 7 day 3rd subfractal blow-off peak valuation on 11 August 2025 will result in a 23 June 2025 to 11 August 7/15/15 day :: x/2-2.5x/2-2.5x 3-phase growth final blow-off fractal series. From Friday 1 August 2025 ACWI has self-ordered into a 6/15/15 hour 3 phase growth series and is followed by a self-assembly 3/7/1 of 5-7 hour blow-off series. A gap higher at the opening on 11 August 2025 with a possible close near the low of the day would confirm this final self-assembly peak series. From the 11 August peak a 4/8/8/5 day 4-phase fractal decay series would take the ACWI to a 10 September 2025 initial crash nadir congruent with a Chinese property crash represented by the Shanghai property index of a April 2025 nadir 4 phase fractal series of 16/36/36-37/22-23 days. Fractal Charts to follow …

25 July 2025 was the 1982 13/32 of 33 year :: x/2.5x Global Equity Peak Valuation ... Now the Initial Nonlinear Crash with an Interim Nadir on 4 Sept 2025 ...

The 60 trillion dollar equivalent Chinese Property market, the total value of crypto proxies, AI proxies, and the ACWI Global index have all reached their maximum valuations for this global macroeconomic asset-debt credit cycle starting in 1982. After the nonlinear crash devaluation of all asset class valuations(except long term debt instruments), the US central bank will rapidly lower interest rates, causing one final lower lower high valuation with a final collapse in Sept to November of 2026. ACWI peak valuation 25 July 2025 with expected nadir 4 Sept 2025.

Chinese Property Fractal Monthly and Daily Decay:

Bitcoin Proxy GBTC Monthly and Daily: