Sunday, October 4, 2026
This is it: The SPX 29 July 2026 to 24 Nov 2026: 17/35/34 days :: xy/2xy/2xy Peak Growth and Crash Decay Series
The Case for Quantitative Lammert Fractal Macroeconomics
(How much higher would the SPX have peaked without the concurrent energy prices and inflation secondary to the Ukraine war, Iran war, and ever mutable trade policies?)
The Asset Debt Macroeconomic System integrates good and excessive bad (unrepayable) private credit growth, asset overproduction, asset overvaluation, asset over-ownership and sets the time limits for peak asset valuation and subsequent valuation decay. Daily trade-able composite equity and commodity asset valuations are deterministically self-organized, self-assembled by the system into two easily-identifiable empirical repetitive time-based growth and decay fractal patterns denominated in fractal units of minutes, hours, days, weeks, months and years:
a 3-phase fractal series: x/2-2.5x/1.5-2.5x and
a 4 phase fractal series: x/2-2.5x/2-2.5x/1.5-1.6x
The 2-2.5x second fractals in the. above serie are characterized terminal nonlinearity in their final 2x-2.5x time frame
From 1807, the growing US hegemony is following a 4-phase 36/90/90/54-57 year fractal series :: x/2.5x/2.5x/1.5-1.6x ending in 2074-77.
The 90 year second fractal ending in 1932 with a SPX having a peak valuation and initial crash nadir in 1929 on 3 Sept and 13 Nov 1929 respectively. The peak and nadir were contained in a 3 phase x/2-2.5x/2-2.5x (or better xy/2-2.5xy/2-2.5xy denoting both peak growth and initial nonlinear decay) fractal series of 12/29/27 days.
The 1932 90 year 3rd fractal and subsequent 54-57 year 4th fractal are composed of two fractal series: a 1932 10-11/20-21/20-21 year 3-phase fractal series ending in 1982 and a 1982 13/33-34/30-33/20 year 4 phase fractal series ending in 2074-2077.
The system is at the end of peak valuation of the 33 year second fractal of the 1982 13/33-34 year :: x/2.5x fractal series with expected 33 year terminal second nonlinear valuation devolution.
The 2026 peak and initial crash valuation is self-organized in a 29 July 2026 to 24 November 2026 3 phase fractal series of 17/35/34 days :: x/2x/2x. ('y' has been used denote a devaluation, but 'xy' is again perhaps more appropriate for both 1929 and 2026 in that the 3-phase fractal series contains both peak valuation growth and initial nonlinear crash decay)
From the Covid March 2020 low, the SPX, boosted by governmental checks directly to private citizens followed a 8/18/18 month :: x/2-2.5x/2-2.x fractal growth patterns with an interpolated 8/19/19 of 20 month pattern (as of 2 Oct 2026) as shown above.
Above:the SPX weekly (and daily) fractal growth patterns of the 27 Oct 2023 to 7 April 2025 19 month second fractal and the 7 April 2025 to currently 2 Oct 2026 3rd 19 month fractal (to the interpolated 8 month first fractal) are shown above.
The SPX terminal 15/30/30 day :: xy/2xy/2xy 3 phase fractal series (fractally similar to 1929) resulting in the 7 April 2025 nadir is shown above.
A 29 July to 24 Nov 2026 4/8/8 week :: 17/35/35 day :: x/2xy/2xy 3- phase (1929 -like) fractal growth and decay series contains the 1982 13/33 year :: x/2.5x peak valuation and ends in the initial 24 Nov 2026 crash nadir. Because this represents a 33 year second fractal nonlinearity (and the amount of margin, leverage, overvaluation, et.al.) the devaluation will be substantial.
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)


<
/a>


