The October Global Equity Crash Surprise: The Lammert 4-Phase Initial Base Crash Fractal Series: 2/5/5/3weeks :: X/2.5X/2.5X/1.5X

Like other October presidential election surprises, the crash will not have much effect on American voters. The plurality of Americans will vote for their individual autonomy, continuation of American institutions, prudent leadership in maintaining nuclear arms stability, and continued economic support of social programs and labor markets by central banks and central governments. The 1/2 quadrillion dollar equivalent Global Asset-Debt Macroeconomic system is deterministic, self correcting; the self determination of the system in times of excess debt, excess asset creation, and asset overvaluation is simply an order or several orders of magnitude greater than the capabilities of political and central banks' interventions to contain a major self correction of asset overvaluation. The March 2020 post Covid global central bank QE and thereafter QT program to respectively boost and thereafter constrain economic growth have resulted a yotal global equity index proxy, ACWI, 8/24/24/3 of 13-15 month 4-phase self-ordered fractal series. The CCP Chinese markets, a component of the ACWI have fared much worse, under the influence of a historical deflationary housing bubble collapse. The March 2020 to approximately September- October 2024 ACWI Lammert 4 phase fractal is shown below. 

The daily and weekly fractals from 5 August to 25 October which represent the initial 3 month base decay fractal in the above image are shown below.

AN ALTERNATIVE ACWI AUGUST 5 TO 24 OCTOBER 2024 X/2.5X/2.5X/1.6X :: LAMMERT 4-PHASE CRASH FRACTAL SERIES: 8/20/20/13 DAYS

Below is an alternative 4-phase Lammert fractal crash series ending 24 October 2024. From the ACWI closing peak on 26 Sept 2024 a 4/8/8/6 day decay series would contain the terminal 4th fractal 13 days (3/6/6 days) of the 8/20/20/13 day 4-phase fractal series.

MAXIMUM X/2.5X/2.5X GROWTH; THEN 1.5X DECAY: THE 5 AUGUST TO 14-15 OCTOBER 2024 7/18/18/10-11 DAY EUROPEAN 600 LAMMERT CRASH DECAY SERIES.

5 October 2024 Global equities are the most favored and tax advantaged of all investment instruments. Instead of providing tax advantages for the use of corporate profits for R and D and new product development and maximizing sovereign industrial and manufacturing growth, corporate-influenced legislation has promoted the use of corporate profits for trillions and trillions of dollars for stock buy-backs, further advantaging equity valuations. This is why there is the maximum 2.5x time growth for the self-assembly of 2nd and 3rd growth fractals. After the Oct 2025 crash low for global equities, this maximum time based growth will be the rule for the next 32-33 years. The British European 600 stock index is following a similar Lammert fractal pattern as the global ACWI equity index and the Nikkei composite. While The nikkei has had (and will have) 4 trading day holidays in the 5 August to 14-15 October 2024 time frame, the British European index has had only 1. From the 5 August 2024 low, the British European 600 stock index is following a self ordered self-assembly 7/18/18/4 of 10-11 day :: x/2.5x/2.5x/1.5x maximum time growth 4-phase Lammert fractal series ending 14-15 October 2024. Containing the 1 October 2024 10-11 day 4th decay fractal(2/5/5 days or 2/5/4/3 days) is an interpolated peak 27 September 2024 3/4 of 6/5-6 day :: y/2y/1-6-2y 3 phase Lammert Decay Series.

Added 6 October 2024 Confirmation of the 27 October 2023 to 15 October 2024 1st and 2nd fractals: The Russell 2000 weekly fractals since October 2023 From 27 Oct 2023 to 15 October 2024, the Russell 2000 is following a 16/37 week :: x/2x-2.5x 1st and 2nd fractal weekly pattern. The 37 week 2nd fractal currently at 35 weeks is following an 11/25 of 27 week :: x/2x-2.5x interpolated 1st and 2nd fractal series. The final 11 weeks of the 27 weeks is composed of a 2/4/5/1 of 3 week fractal series ending 15 October 2024. Downward global equity valuation nonlinearily will be evident over the next 7 trading days . If proportional fractal similarity is shared with the 1929 to 1932 decline, this 2/4/5/3 or 11 week 4-phase Lammert crash fractal series will be the 1st fractal base for a 11//22//(5/12-13/11-10/7 = 32)week crash fractal series ending Oct 2025.

27 September 2024 was the final higher high and lower high peak valuations for the ACWI Global Equity Index and the Nikkei, respectively. A 10-11 day crash 4th fractal is now expected from that peak ending 10-11 October 2024.

The 5 August 2024 to 10-11 October 2024 (10 week) 4-phase 2/4/4/3 week :: x/2x/2x/1.5x weekly fractal series correlating to a 8/17/16/10-11 day :: x/2-2.5x/2-25x'/1.5x' 4 phase daily fractal series for the ACWI and a 7/17/15/10-11 day :: x/2-2.5x/2-2.5x/1.5x series for the Nikkei had terminal higher high and lower high peak valuations respectively, on 27 September 2024, the 16th and 15th respective days of the third fractals. A 10-11 day crash is now expected from that peak ending 10-11 October 2024. This 10 week base fractal will serve as the first base decay fractal in a 4-phase fractal series ending the first or second week of October 2025.

THE ACWI 100 + trillion dollar global equity ETF 5 AUGUST 2024 TO 11 OCTOBER 2024 8/17/17/10 DAY :: X/2-2.5X/2.5X'/1.5X' CRASH FRACTAL SERIES

The Nikkei will complete a 5 August 2024 8/18/14 day :: x/2-2.5x/2x' growth fractal series on Monday 30 September 2024 while the ACWI and Western composite equities will complete an 8/17/17 day :: x/2-2.5x/2.5x' growth fractal series on 30 September 2024 with extension of the previous fractal model’s (2x) 14 day 3rd fractal to 2.5x' or 17 days. (The Nikkei had 5 trading holidays during this time frame.) The ACWI crash low (and Nikkei low) is expected on Friday 11 October 2024 following a 5 Aug 2024 to Friday 11 October 2024 4-Phase Lammert Crash Fractal Series: 8/17/17/10 day :: x/2-2.5x/2.5x’/1.5x’.

THE GLOBAL INDEX ACWI 5 AUGUST 2024 TO TUESDAY 8 OCTOBER 2024 8/17/14/10 DAY :: X/2.5X/2X’/1.5X’ :: 2/4/4/3 WEEK :: X/2X/2X/1.5X 4-PHASE FIRST BASE LAMMERT CRASH FRACTAL FOR THE INTERPOLATED 1982 13/32 YEAR FRACTAL SERIES

In 1929 a 3-phase 5/10/12 week :: x/2x/2.5x or 25 week Lammert first base crash fractal contained the Sept 1929 SPX peak and the November 1929 SPX crash low valuation. This was the asset-debt macroeconomic system’s mathematically self-assembled first base fractal initiating a decay fractal series for the completion of an US 1807 36/90 year x/2.5x first and second time-based fractal series ending in 1932. The 5 August to 8 October 2024 2/4/4/3 week or 10 week first base fractal will constitute the mathematically self-assembled first base fractal initiating a decay fractal series for an interpolated 1982 13/32 year first and second fractal series ending in 2025. ACWI is summation global equity index valued at over 100 trillion dollars. It contains the US Wilshire worth 57.5 trillion dollars and the Shanghai, Nikkei, Indian, HangSeng, and Canadian et. al. exchanges worth 10, 6, 5, 4, and 3 trillion, et. al., respectively. Since October 2023, the ACWI is following (the asset debt macroeconomic system has self-ordered self-assembled) a 17/33** of 36 week first and second series with an interpolated shorter 13/31** week series, the latter ending 5 August 2024 with nonlinear gapped lower lows on the daily charts characterizing the end of the 31** week second fractal.

The longer dominant Oct 2023 17 week (74 day) fractal series can be discerned easily via the 10 trillion dollar equivalent Shanghai composite whose 16 week(75 day) first fractal has a negative slope. Its second fractal of current/y 32 weeks is deteriorating and near the low of the 16 week 1st fractal and within 2 % of the Shanghai March 2020 low. The valuations are both consistent with a deflationary collapsing property bubble, the most over-produced, over-valued, and overowned in recorded history. (The HangSeng has a similar profile with a 8 October 2024 expected collapse to 10000)

The ACWI made a record valuation high on 19 Sept 2024 and is expected to make another on 25 September 2024 which is day 14 of a 8/17/14/10 day : x/2-2.5x/2x’/1.5x’ crash fractal series. From Wednesday 25 September 2024 to 8 October 2024 global markets are expected to crash forming the initial Lammert 10 week first base fractal for the decay fractal series to complete the 32 year second fractal of the 1982 13/32 year first and second fractal series, interpolated in the US 1807 36/90/90/54 year :: x/2.5x/2.5x/1.5x fractal series and ending 2074.

Interpolated Fractal Series to the 7 October 2024 low: 5 August 7/17/15/10 days and 13 September 3/8/8 days

While the US Wilshire 5000 on 13 Sept 2024 was within 1 % of its 16 July 2024 high valuation and over 125% above its March 2020 low, the 13 Sept 2024 Chinese Shanghai composite was within 2% of its March 2020 nadir low with a breach of that low expected within two trading days. The Chinese markets are under severe deflationary pressure from the collapsed and further collapsing property bubble with grossly excessive supply and two residential units available for every potential occupant. For the ACWI world index two interpolated larger length fractal series are evident: a 27 October 2023 74/148 day :: x/2x 1st and 2nd fractal (with the 148 day second fractal starting 13 February 2023) and a 13 Feb 2023 47/102 of 118 day :: x/2.5x series ending 7 October 2024. 5 August 2024 was the end date of yet another 1st and 2nd fractal starting 27 October 2023 54/139 days :: x/2.5x with the characteristic 2nd fractal gapped lower low nonlinearity between days 137 and 138 and between days 138 and 139.

From 5 August 2024, using as a global proxy the French CAC composite, an ongoing 7/17/8 of 15/10 day ::x/2.5x/2x/1.5x 4-phase fractal series and ending 7 October 2024 can be observed and modeled. 13 Sept 2024 is day 148 or 2x of the 27 October 74/148 day :: x/2x 1st and 2nd fractal which places the 2nd fractal in the window of 2nd fractal nonlinearity. A 13 Sept 2024 3/8/8 day :: y/2.5y/2.5y 3-phase fractal decay series would coincide with the terminal portion of the 5 August 2024 7/17/15/10 4-phase decay series and ending with both ending on 7 October 2024.