Tuesday, August 11, 2026

5 May to 24 August 2026: an Oct 1987-like terminal nonlinear valuation decrease.

The1987 crash followed a 29/70/69/39 day x/2.5x/2.5x/1.5x 4 phase fractal series. The 39 day 4th fractal of this series followed a 6/13/12/10 day x/2- 2.5x/2.5x/1.5x series with the final 10 days following a 2/4/4/3 day fractal series ::x/2x/2x/1.5x. 60 % of the 39 day peak to nadir drop occurred in the last two trading days. The 5 May 2026 to 24 Aug 2026 11/27/27/15 day fractal series will likely have even a greater % drop in the last few trading days The 15 day final series is a 3/6-8/6-8 day y/2y-2.5y/2y-2.5y 3-phase fractal decay series. The pricking of 2026 bubble is an internal one of gross private over-investment and overvaluation of assets (mostly AI) at the asset-debt system's absolute growth valuation limit. But the timing will also associated with oil shortages and escalating oil valuations. Unlike 1987, this collapse comes at the end of a 1982 13/33 year :: x/2.5x credit cycle. There will be lower asset lower lows after the initial 24 Aug 2026 nadir.

Tuesday, July 28, 2026

Current Update of 5 May 2026 11/27/22/16-17 day. :: x/2.5x/2x/1.5x SPX/ACWI 1982 13/33 year 2 June Peak Valuation and Incipient Crash

The above model was described on 22 July 2026 and depicted below on that date. A historical exhaustion. gap blow-off occurred between the close of 5 May and the opening of 6 May for the global equity index ACWI. Te predicted 11/27/22/16 day :: x/2.5x/2x/1.5x 4-phase Lammert Fractal Series contained the 2 June 2026 ACWI peak valuation.
This peak valuation represented the apogee valuation of a 1982 13/33 year :: x/2.5x 1st and 2nd Fractal Series. Private credit expansion and malinvestment in AI and AI related tech and infrastructure have created a mighty global equity bubble while 401 pension funds now representing 50% of American workers and 8.4 % average US deficit to GDP annual spending for 6 years have sustained the 33 year 2nd fractal to its maximum mathematical time 2.5x length of peak valuation. Below is the current 28 July closing chart for ACWI and Space X with an initial crash low projected on 18-19 August 2026.
Below is the 1982 long term SPX chart:

Monday, July 13, 2026

The Great Initial 2026 Crash: Lammert Fractal Economics Verses Quantum Fractal Particle Physics: The 7 April 2025 ACWI/SPX Global Peak Valuation of 2 June 2026 :: 11+/23/28-29 weeks :: x/2x/2.5x; And From the Historical ACWI 5 to 6 May 2026 Exhaustion Gap: a 1929-like 10+/27/11 of 27-28 day :: y/2.5y/2.5y Initial Crash Devaluation ... Ending 5-6Aug 2026

The energy-mass units of protons, quarks, electrons, photons, and neutrinos will ultimately be shown to be sequential time-based fractal rearrangements of subunits on the order of 10 E7-E18 Planck length units with rearrangements occurring on the order of 10 E7-E18 Planck time units, far too small for human discernment, creating the mathematical 'macroscopic' probabilistic wave functions of Schrodinger. The fractal rearrangements transient from high entropy-low ordered states to low entropy - relatively highly order states and vice-versa with complete conservation creating spin, angular momentum, and directional vectors. The human asset-debt macroeconomic system evolves in a time based fractal manner from peaks of high asset valuation and high levels of bad unrepayable private debt to nadir low asset valuations with low levels of bad unrepayable private debt. For the 1807 US US hegemony, 36/90/90/54-57 year :: x/2.5x2.5x/1.5-1.6x represents the fractal evolution of the asset-debt macroeconomic system with asset valuations nadired in 1807/1842-43, and 1932. The 90 year 3rd fractal and the 54-57 year 4th fractal are composed of a 1932 10-11/22-23/22-23 year :: x/2x/2x fractal series ending in 1982 and a 1982 13/33/33/20 year :: x/2.5x/2.5x/1.5x fractal series ending in 2077.
The terminal portion of the 1982 to 2026 13/33 year :: x/2.5x 1st and 2nd fractal series began 7 April 2025 following an ACWI 11+/23/28-29 week :: x/2-2.5x/2.5x terminal growth series ending 2 June 2026.
After a historical daily exhaustion gap between 5 and 6 May 2026, the ACWI is following a 6 May 2026 10+/27/27-28 day, 1929-like :: y/2.5y/2.5y crash 3-phase crash fractal decay series. As of 13 July 2026 ACWI is on day 11 of the 27-28 day 3rd crash fractal with an initial crash nadir expected on 5-6 Aug 2026. Initial Major Fractal Crash Decay begins in Final Terminal Fractal Growth. Added 18 July 2026: The Final SPX/ACWI 6 May to 15 July 2026 Lammert fibonacci growth sequence in the 1982: 13/33 year :: x/2.5x sequence.
The ACWI/SPX peaked on 2 June 2026, the 10th day of a 24 day 2nd fractal of a 6 May to 15 July 10/24/16 day :: x/2.5x/1.6x 3-phase terminal Lammert fractal series. The series started on 6 May 2026, which represented a historical daily exhaustion blow-off from the 5 May close for the ACWI composite global equity index. The 6 May 10 day 1st fractal was composed of 2/4/4/3 day :: x/2x/2x/1.5x 4-phase Lammert fractal series. The 24 day 2nd fractal was composed of a 3/7/8 day and a subsequent 2/5/4 day 3-phase Lammert fractal series with the 2 June peak valuation composed of an interpolated 2/5/5 day :: x/2.5x/2.5x maximum growth series. A nonlinear lower low gap occurred between day 23 and 24 of the 24 day 2nd fractal in the terminal 2x-2.5x range which characterizes 2nd fractals (see 2005 Main page of The Economic Fractalist). 15 July 2026, the 16 day 3rd fractal final lower high is day 6 of a 23 June 29026 4/8/6 day :: x/2x/1.6x Lammert fractal series and represents a 1.6 fibonacci ratio of the 10 day 1st fractal phase to appropriately conclude the 1982 13/33 year x/2.5x growth. From the 15 July 2026 lower high peak valuation 2.5x, 33 year 2nd fractal unprecedented valuation nonlinearity is expected. The global equity crash is secondary to historically extreme equity valuations and leveraged and malinvested historically high private debt. The timing is occurring with the inception of Oil's 3rd fractal growth within a 9/21/3 of ? 18-21 week :: x/2.5x/2-2.5x 3-phase growth series congruent with an escalating Iran war and historically low US oil strategic storage reserves. Within the last two years declines in market valuations have been associated with tariff announcements and the initiation of the Iran war. The coming massive decline will be associated with the current escalation of the war and dramatic increases in energy prices.