Saturday, May 2, 2026

4 May 2026: Peak Global Equity Valuation: Oil: the trading entity bucking Gold and Cryptos' devaluation.

Total global gold market valuation peaked on 29 Jan 2026 at 37.5-38 trillion and is currently valued at 32 trillion. The total global crypto market at peak valuation in Sept/Oct 2025 was 4.36 trillion and is currently valued at 2.7 trillion. With Israel's initiation of the war on 28 Feb 2026, the global oil and gas market has bucked the declining price trends in gold and crypto markets. The oil and gas market was valued at 6.3 trillion in 2025 and now 8.75 trillion in May 2026 after the Israeli war. By comparison, the total global equity worth is currently about 154.5 trillion, a new record peak valuation. The 1982 to 2026 13/33 year 2026 1st and 2nd fractal series peak composite equity valuation will occur on 4 May 2026 completing a 7 April 2025 53/107/112 day :: x/2-2.5x/2-2.5x 3-phase Lammert terminal fractal growth series. 2% US GDP growth and US Equity valuation growth in the 1st quarter and the 1st month of the 2nd quarter has been propelled by continued private credit investment into AI and associated Tech, while the US consumer dromedary economy is faltering as represented by historically low consumer sentiment and the added gas and diesel price increase straws that are breaking the camel's back. GOLD Gold prices appear to be following a 1929 DJIA 3 phase 11/26/28 day: xy/2.5xy/2.5xy crash fractal decay series. The 11 day 1st fractal started on 23 March 2026. CRYPTO is following a 12 Dec 2022 26/66/56-57/31 of 38-39 week :: x/25x/2-2.5x/1.5x 4-phase growth and decay fractal series. OIL With the war, oil is bucking the trend having completed a 16 Dec 2025 15/35/36 day 1st fractal growth series on 17 April 2026. The 2nd fractal appears to be on day 10 of an 11 day 1st fractal sub-series. COMPOSITE EQUITIES (ACWI) reached a new high on 1 May 2026 on its way to completing a 30 March 2026 to 4 May 2026 6-/11-12/ 10 day :: x/2x/2x' or a 36/76/61-64 hour :: x/2-2.5x/2-2.5x' 3-phase growth series.

Thursday, April 30, 2026

4 May 2026: The final 1982 13/33 year :: x/2.5x SPX Composite Equity Peak Valuation

From the 30 March 2026 nadir a 6-/12/10 day :: x/2x/2x' SPX fractal growth series will complete a 7 April 2025 to 30 April 2026 53/107-108/112 day :: x/2x/2-2.5x 3 phase Lammert final growth series completing a 1982 SPX 13/33 year :: x/2.5x peak valuation growth series... The terminal 30 March to 4 May 2026 SPX 32/74/62 hour :: x/2-2.5x/2x 3-phase hourly fractal growth series is shown below.

Tuesday, April 14, 2026

The Elegant Interpolated Fractal Self-Assembly Math: The ACWI 7 April 2025 to 24 April 2026 53/107/106 day :: x/2x/2x 3-Phase Final Peak Valuation Fractal Growth Series and the 7 April 2025 53/107/132-133 day :: y/2y/2.5y 3-Phase Initial Crash Fractal Decay Series Devaluation.

New 7 April 2025 Terminal 3-Phase Fractal Peak Growth Model :: 53/107/106 days :: x/2x/2x with ACWI terminal peak valuation on Friday 24 April 2026.
Valuation growth and decay of the asset-debt system's tradable assets occur in a highly ordered time-based mathematical fractal pattern. Since the 7 April 2025 nadir, maximal growth for ACWI has occurred in a 53 day/107 day/98 of 106 day :: x/2.5x/2x 3 phase fractal growth series with an expected final peak valuation on 24 April 2026. This terminal growth fractal growth series is elegantly interpolated in a 7 April 2025 53/107/132-133 day :: y/2y/2.5y incipient 3 phase fractal crash decay series.
The 53 day 1st fractal is composed of a 10/25/20 day : x/2.5x/2x sub-fractal series. Each sub-fractal is composed likewise of self-assembly fractal subunits as depicted above.
The 107 day 2nd Fractal is composed of 4 sub-fractal series as shown above (the 12 day 2nd sub-fractal of the 29 day 1st sub-fractal series is actually 13 days) and the 3rd 14 day sub-fractal of the 4th sub-series is 13 days vice 14 days making the total length of the 2nd Fractal 107 vice 108 days) or alternatively, as below: a 29/62 :: x/2-2.5x 1st and 2nd fractal growth series growth followed by a peak to nadir 3/7/6/5 day :: y/2-2.5y/2y/1.5y 4-phase fractal decay series.
The 106 day 3rd Fractal to terminal peak growth follows the fractal pattern of the above 107 day 2nd fractal 2-phase fractal growth series and peak to nadir fractal decay series model with two sequential fractal series : a 19/47 day :: x/2.5x 2-phase growth maximum growth series followed by a peak to nadir 5/13/8 day :: y/2.5y/1.6y decay 3-phase fractal decay series and a 6(-)/14 day :: x/2.5x maximum growth series to reach a peak valuation on Friday 24 April 2026.
A 3-phase peak to nadir 6/14/9-10 day :: y/2-5y/1.6y fractal decay series or a 3-phase peak to nadir 5/12-13/12 day :: y/2-2.5y/2-2.5y fractal decay series or a 4-phase peak to nadir 4-5/10/10/7 day :: y/2-2.5y/2-2.5y/1.5y fractal decay series would represent the initial 27-28 day crash fractal decay series resulting an April 2026 53/107/132-133 day :: y/2y/2.5y decay series with an initial crash fractal series low on 1 or 2 June 2026. This 53/107/132-133 day series is the 290-291 day 3rd fractal of a 27 October 2023 120/243/290-291 day :: y/2y/2-2.5y series. The 120/243/290-291 day series becomes the 651-652 day 2nd fractal of a 13 Oct 2022 262/651-652 day :: x/2.5x 1st and 2nd Fractal series. The base 1st fractal for the 4-phase 2026 crash fractal decay series maybe the 17 Dec 2025 10/25 day 1st and 2nd fractal series or 34 days. A 17 Dec 2026 34/82-3/82-3/50 day :: y/2-2.5y/2-2.5y/1.5y crash fractal decay series would place the 1982 to 2026 13/33 year :: x/2.5x 1st and 2nd fractal nadir in Dec 2026. --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 25 April 2025 Postscript ... Added 25 April 2025 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- While the ACWI global equity ETF did not make a final higher high on 24 April 2026, because of the effect of the higher Hormuz oil energy prices on the European Equity Markets, the US Wilshire 5000, composite of US equities, did reach a new high on 24 April 2026 as shown below. The SPX final 30 Mar 2026 x/2.5x :: 6/14 day 1st and 2nd fractal series reaching its higher high on 24 April 2026 was a 36-37/93 hour :: x/2.5x 1st and 2nd fractal series reaching its higher high on the 93nd hour of the 93 hour 2nd fractal.
The SPX final 30 Mar 2026 x/2.5x :: 6/14 day 1st and 2nd fractal series reaching its higher high on 24 April 2026 was a 36-37/93 hour :: x/2.5x 1st and 2nd fractal series reaching its higher high on the 93nd hour of the 93 hour 2nd fractal.

Thursday, April 9, 2026

Expect The Expected: The Great 20 February 2026 to 24-28 April 2026 8/20/18-20 day :: y/2.5y/2-2.5y ACWI Incipient Global Equity Crash

Gold, Crypto, and global Equities are all undergoing a 1982 global equity 13/33 year :: x/2.5x 1st and 2nd fractal series' terminal 33 year 2nd fractal incipient nonlinear crash which will transpire over the next 10 trading days starting 10 April 2026 and is following a 20 Feb 2026 to 24-28 April 2026 ACWI 8/20/8 of 18 to 20 day :: y/2.5y/2-2.5y 3 phase Lammert Fractal Crash Decay Series self similar to the incipient 11/26/27 day 1929 DJIA 3 phase Lammert Fractal Crash Decay Series.
The cause of the crash is a summation result of terminal 33 year 2nd fractal cycle enormous accumulation of global bad corporate and private debt that cannot be repaid - by the underlying ongoing dynamics of global wages and total job numbers of its citizens. This private debt expansion and accumulation has leveraged extreme over ownership and overvaluation of - equity, crypto, gold, silver, residential and commercial real estate, et. al. - pricing. The Israeli-Trump war is a coincidental red herring accelerant to a predetermined 33 year terminal 2nd fractal private-debt-dependent nonlinear asset valuation crash.

Monday, March 30, 2026

A 17 Feb 2026 11/28/28 day :: y/2.5y/2.5Y 3-Phase Lammert Crash Fractal Decay Series?

The ACWI 3 March 2026 28 day 2nd Fractal of the 17 Feb 2026 11/28/28 day 3-phase crash fractal decay series appears conforming to a 5/10/9/7 day :: 28/70/56-57/42-43 hour :: y/2.5y/2-2.5y'/1.5y' 4-phase fractal series where the 3rd 56-57 hour 2-2.5y' subfractal of the series ends on a lower high. This 56-57 hour subfractal is composed of a 12/25/21-22 hour :: x/2.5x/2x 3-phase deteriorating growth fractal series.
The Two Lammert Time-Based Fractal Laws of Self-Assembly: 1.A 4-Phase Series: x/2-2.5x/2-2.5x/1.5-1.6x , where the 3rd fractal ends on a peak or lower high valuation and the other 3 Fractals end on nadir valuations. 2.A 3-Phase Series: x/2-2.5x/1.5-2.5x, where all 3 fractals end on nadir valuations. This can be written as y/2-2.5y/2-2.5y for crash devaluations where 'y' denotes declining valuations. Added 31 March 2026 ... A 23-30 % Devaluation in the French CAC by 13 April? 1929 initial DJIA fractal decay series: 10-11/26-27/27 days :: y/2.5y/2.5y 2026 initial ACWI fractal decay series : 17 Feb 2026 11/28/28 days :: y/2.5y/2.5y 1 April 2026 will be day 22 or 2y, a final lower high or lower lower high of the ACWI 28 day 2nd decay fractal following a 3 Mar 2026 5/10/9/7 day :: y/2y/2-2.5y'/1.5y' 4-phase deteriorating growth and decay (sub)fractal series. (Day 9 of the 3rd fractal of this 5/10/9/7 series is day 22 of the 22 of 28 day 2nd fractal.) The expected 28 day ACWI nadir is 10 April 2028. The complementary hourly ACWI 2nd (sub)Fractal 4-phase deteriorating growth and decay series is 28/70/56/42 hours :: y/2.5y2y/1.5y. For the French CAC with trading holidays on 3 Apr and 6 Apr, the expected 28 day 2nd Decay Fractal nadir is 13 April 2026. Looking at the first 5 day (5/10/9/7 days) 2nd fractal trendline, the CAC should lose > 22% of its 1 April 2026 lower high value by 13 April 2026.

Thursday, March 26, 2026

An Incipient 3-phase Crash Fractal Series 1929 Replay: 17 Feb 2026 11/26-27/26-27 days :: y/2.5y/2.5y ... Private Credit Collapse or War as the Precipitating Cause?

A 1982 13/33 year :: x/2.5x major credit/business fractal cycle is ending analogous to the ending of the 1807 36/90 year :: x/2.5x fractal cycle that peaked on 3 Sept 1929 and nadired in 1932. This 1982 cycle peaked on 25 Feb 2026 for the ACWI global equity composite. Was it the recent ongoing private credit collapse and asset valuation extreme overvaluation or was it the Israeli-Trump war shock that pivoted and inverted the asset valuation growth to asset valuation decay? Unfortunately, and on many levels, the effects of 'an uninitiated needless war' and against the most important of international UN charter regulations will be unknown. The 11 day first decay fractal began on 17 Feb 2026. The Israeli-Trump war was not initiated until 28 Feb 2026 Gold in USD is following the same 17 Feb 2026 3-phase fractal decay pathway as the SPX as the global composite equity ACWI. GBTC, the 5 day a week tradable proxy for crypto, is following a 5 Feb 2026 13/31-32/26-27 day :: y/2.5y/2y 3-phase fractal decay pathway whose 2nd and 3rd fractal decay nadirs align with gold in USD , the SPX, and ACWI.
With collapsing and private debt default denominated in dollars, assets must be sold to repay those debt obligations. From a fractal perspective, private debt default is the primary precipitate of the asset valuation crash, with the Israeli-Trump war a coincidental event causing a perverse escalation of oil and oil byproduct prices, and seriously causing inflation and impacting the world's producers and the world's consumer economy.

Wednesday, March 25, 2026

1929 and 2026: A y/2.5y/2.5y :: 10-11/27/27 Day Interpolated 3-Phase Lammert Fractal Decay Series Crash

The growth and decay of the Asset-Debt Macroeconomic Systems' tradable assets' valuations self-assembly in the most efficient mathematical time-based fractal manner possible. At major inflection points (1929 and 2026; 1807 36/90 year and 1982 13/33 year :: x/2.5x 1st and 2nd fractal cycles respectively) - created by asset extreme overvaluation(caused by corporate buy-backs, petrol dollar investment, retirement automatic 401K investment, et al.); private debt default; and excessive private debt accumulation untethered to the underlying ongoing wage and job related real economy - incipient asset valuation fractal decay is interpolated in final fractal valuation peak growth. In 2026 add to the private debt default, debt accumulation relative to job and wage growth, and extreme asset overvaluation ... add ... a global energy and global critical petroleum byproduct shock - and the 1929 initial peak to nadir fractal valuation decay of 48% will likely be smaller than the initial peak to nadir valuation fractal decay in 2026. The current new fractal decay model is actually an earlier 2008 identified 3-phase decay series. The below diagram shows peak fractal growth to 3 Sept 1929 high and the interpolated 10-11/26-27/27 day :: y/2.5y/2.5y 3-phase fractal series crash decay.
The 2026 fractal growth to 25 Feb 2026 ACWI peak valuation and the 1929-self-similar interpolated 3-phase 11/27/27 day :: y/2.5y/2.5y crash series decay is shown below.