The STOXX 600 31 Oct to 5-6 December 2024 5/10 of 11-12/12 days :: x/2-2.5x/2-2.5x 3-phase CRASH Fractal Decay Series

The universe operates by patterned self assembly of its smallest units on the smallest scale to the largest scale with mathematical fractal self-ordering and self-assembly of its subunits, units, and interactive connecting structures. With energy vibration, the smallest tetrarhedrons of planck side length 1.616 10-35 M may have an averaged bowing length of 1.618: the fibonacci ratio. Fibonnaci ratio curved (and ... with respect to anti leptons and antiquarks - anticurved and ... with respect to photons, reciprocating curved-anticurved) self-assembled adjacent tetrahedron groupings form the basis of the universe’s leptons, antileptons, quarks, antiquarks, transfer bosons and - gravity. By fractal matrix math and tetrahedron composite structure, the strange world of quantum mechanics is linked to relativity’s macroscopic gravity. The STOXX 600 does not observe the US (ACWI) Labor Day Holiday and has a 5 August 20241st fractal base length 'X' of 25 days. Because 5 Aug starts on the low and ends on the high it is twice counted fractally for a total of 26 days. The expected second fractal 2.5x length is 65 days ending 5-6 December 2024. The STOXX 600 Fractal Graph is shown below: note the alternating 4-phase and 3-phase Lammert Fractal series that compose the fractal subunits of the 5 August 26/65 day :: x/2.5x first and second fractal series. A 65-66 day crash nadir low is expected 5-6 December 2024.

The November 7 2024 Peak Global Equity Valuation and the 0.36 Fractal Proportionality Peak to Nadir Timing for the Re-calibration of Asset Overvaluation and Bad Debt Liquidation in 1929 verses 2024

The length of time of the fractal pathway from the asset-debt macroeconomy’s peak asset valuation to its nadir valuation in 1929 vice 2024 may well be 0.36 , which is the ratio of the length of the 13 year 1982 to 1994 interpolated first fractal to the length of the 36 year 1807 to 1842-43 first fractal of the US hegemonic 36/90/90/54 year great fractal series ending 2074. November 7 2024 marked the global equity peak for the 32 year second fractal of 1982’s 13 year interpolated first fractal just as 3 September 1929 represented the 90 year second fractal peak for the 1807 36 year first fractal.

The higher high gap for ACWI, the 100 + trillion dollar global ETF equity index on 7 November, 2024 has been observed only once before on 27 Sept 2024 and not even on the 90 year third fractal (of the 36/90/90/54 year series) inflation adjusted high average valuation on 8 November 2021. By fractal count the time duration between the 3 Sept 1929 high and the 8 July 1932 low was 35 months. 35 months times 0.36 is 12.6 months which would put the crash asset low (by fractal time count) to be in late October- Novemder 2025. Conservative US fiscal policy by the new conservative majority in the executive and legislative branches will likely oppose any further deficit spending - very much akin to the Hoover administration in 1929 to 1931 with deficit to GDP spending of -0.7, -0.8 and 0.6%, even as GDP fell by 10 % a year. QE monetary policy by the Fed and central banks will benefit primarily financial institutions with their first use of money making even greater wealth disparities between those with assets and without assets. Of all countries China is perhaps in the worst position because of their real estate gross overproduction, overvaluation, and gross over-ownership by their citizens as a primary wealth holding vehicle. For the Shanghai Property index the current weekly fractal projection from the Jan 2024 low is 14/30 of 34 weeks. The daily series from the 11 September 2024 low is 9/21/8 of 24 days with an expected crash low on 1 December 2024. The normal fractal progression of a 14/34/28-34/21 week progression would place the nadir low in Oct-Nov 2025 the same as the 0.36 ratio as above. The 28-34/21 week 3rd and 4th fractals will not follow the standard grow and decay model but will follow a proportionality decay fractal model observable in the 1929 peak to nadir progression.

The ACWI correct fractal 5 Aug 2024 to 1 December 2024 24(+)/62 day :: x/2.5x progression is shown below and matches the Shanghai property index 1 December 2024 nadir date and the 5 week base decay fractal equivalent to 1929’s 13 week fractal decay base.

A 5 NOVEMBER 2024 ELECTION DAY CRASH: THE 11 SEPT 6/12/15/10 DAY :: X/2X/2.5X/1.6X 4-PHASE LAMMERT CRASH FRACTAL SERIES

Within the US hegemonic 1807 great 4-phase x/2.5x/2.5x/1.5 fractal series of 36/90/90/54 years (with nadirs in 1842, 1932, and 2074) is the interpolated 1982 1st and 2nd fractal series of 13/32 years ending in approximately October 2025. A 14 week fractal series from 5 August to 5 November 2024 will form the incipient crash first fractal base for the weekly decay series ending in about Oct 2025. Since 1982 the US GDP has expanded from 3.3 trillion to 29 trillion, a 9 fold increase, while US debt has expanded from 1.1 trillion to 35 trillion, a 32 fold increase. Excess dollars created by governmental fiscal policy and facilitated by central bank monetary policy have flowed preferentially into equities aided with 20 years of corporate-lobbied legislative buy-back laws while US middle class manufacturing jobs have been expatriated in support of corporate financial goals over national security goals. US % GDP-deficit spending in 2020 was 14.66, the highest since WW2 with persistent 11.7, 5.3, 6.1, and 6.7 % deficit spending in subsequent years yielding a 4 year average of 2-3% annual GDP growth, touted to be the envy of G7 countries. Below is current fractal model of the 5 August 2024 to the 5 November 2024 crash which consists of two daily fractal subseries. This will complete a 16/40 week 1st and 2nd fractal series starting 27 October 2023.

The October Crash of 2024: Fractal self-similarities: 1987 and 2024 (21 Sept to 26-27 Oct 1987 and 11 Oct to 7 Nov 2024)

Equity valuations for Toyota, GM, Ford and Tesla represent basic daily, weekly, and monthly transactional weather vane markers aligned with the real needs of the population base of the pyramid of the asset-debt macroeconomic system. New net quality jobs creation or loss and ongoing debt load create the demand for vehicles, the companies' profits, and stock valuations. Trending vehicle manufacturer stock valuations are a reflection of the health of the net purchasing power of the population base. All manufacturers are following similar monthly, weekly, and daily fractal patterns since March of 2020, a time of Covid demand collapse and low equity valuations. Elon Musk, who has an 11K dollar Tesla EV set to roll out in the summer of 2025 and who is providing 75 million dollars to the Trump campaign, has a vested interest in having leverage against the mighty ICE’s oil and gas industries and vehicle manufacturing industries and in having political capital for the development of an ‘efficient’ massive electrical outlet infrastructure. If the democrats win, he then plays the ‘green’ card to support his tech and business goals Tesla’s operative self ordered monthly, weekly, and daily fractal patterns since March 2020 low are as follows: Monthly: 8/17/11 months :: x/2-2.5x/1.5x’ and 5/10/10 months :: x/2x/2x with the crash expected i the last week of Oct 2024.

Weeky: the weekly correlate of the 6 Jan 2023 5/10/10 month 3 phase fractal series is 17/40/39 of 40-42 weeks:. The terminal 40-42 weeks are composed of a 13/27 of 28-30 week 1st and 2nd fractal series:: x/2-2.5x . The terminal 27 of 28-30 weeks are composed of a 9/19 of 20-22 week 1st and 2nd fractal series x/2-2.5x. The 19 of 20 -22 weeks are composed of two weekly series: a 2/5/4 week :: x/2.5x/2x or 9 week fractal series and a 14 week: 5/7 of 8-10 fractal series: x/2x

Daily: The final 14 weeks starting 5 August are composed of a 5 week series: two subseries: 3/6/7/5 days and 2/4/5 days and a 10 week series: 7/14/currently 12 of 17/9-10 day series ending 6-7 November 2024.

The 1987 and the 2024 SPX 4 phase x/2-2.5x/2.5x/1.5-1.6x crash fractal series’ similarities: 4/9/10/6-7 days verses 6/14/15/9-20 days, respectively. 1987 had a SPX 21 September to 26-27 October 4/9/10/6-7 day :: x/2-2.5x/2x/1.5-1.6x 4 phase crash fractal sequence with the 19 Oct crash day representing day 10 of the 3rd fractal. This occurred relatively early in the incipient growth valuation phase of a 1982 to 2025 13/32 year :: x/2.5x 1st and 2nd fractal series. As such the 26-27 Oct 1987 lows, technically representing double bottoms, were slightly higher lows than the 19 Oct 1987 crash low.

Because in November 2024 asset-debt macroeconomic system is now within a year of the terminal 2025 nadir of the 1982 13/32 year 1st and 2nd fractal series, the 2024 SPX 11 October to 7 November 2024 6/14/15/9-10 day 4-phase crash fractal sequence will likely have a lower low on 7 November 2024 (day 10 of the 4th fractal) than the 25 October 2024 crash low(day 15 of the 3rd fractal).

Precise 2.5X maximum time length 27 Oct 2023 base first fractal interpolated second fractals. 7 Nov 2024 is exactly a 2.5x time ratio to its 27 Oct 2023 to 13 February 2024first fractal less than 74 day base. (13 Feb 2024 starts on a low and ends on a high). The time frame of its second fractal from13 Feb is 184 days or precisely 2.5X. This matches the precise x/2.5x ratio of the interpolated 27 Oct 2023 to 17 Jan 2024 55 day first fractal and its 17 an 2024 to 5 August 2024 138 day second fractal. The nonlinear lower low daily gaps are the characteristic feature of the terminal portion of a second fractal. (See 2005 initial Economic Fractalist website page.)

The October Friday 18 to October Friday 24 incipient 2024-25 Global Equity, Crypto, and Commodity Markets nonlinear CRASH DEVALUATION

The October Friday 18 to October Friday 24 incipient 2024-25 Global Equity, Crypto, and Commodity Markets nonlinear CRASH DEVALUATION: daily and weekly deterministic and mathematical fractal terminal 37-38 week 2ND FRACTAL NON-LINEARITY in the ACWI Oct 2023 16/38 week 1st and 2nd fractal series. In 2025, the US SPX will conclude the fractal self-assembly of a 1982 13/32 year :: x/2.5x 1st and 2nd fractal series. This series is interpolated in a larger US hegemonic 1807 to 2074 36/90/90/54 year :: x/2.5x/2.5x/1.5x Lammert 4-phase fractal series with nadirs in 1842-43, 1932 and 2074 and a 3rd fractal peak in November 2021. The October 2023 16/37 of 38 week 1st and 2nd fractal series is interpolated within the terminal 31 of 32 years of the 1982 to 2025 13/32 year : x/2.5x 1st and 2nd fractal series. From 2025 to 2074 US and global central banks will continue the same aggressive QE money expansion programs (perhaps with central banks borrowing at zero interest rates from each and to other ) following the pattern created after the respective March 2009 and March 2020 housing bubble and 2-3 % mortality rate Covid crashes. (The current 2020-2025 Chinese housing bubble crash is on an order of magnitude greater than the global hosing crash of 2007 to 2009.) The 5 August 2024 to 25 October 2024 final daily fractal crash pathway is interpolated within the final October 2023 16/37 of 38 week :: x2-2.5x 1st and 2nd fractal series. Below are the ACWI, the Russell 2000, and Indian BSE equity composites , the first two showing exactly similar patterns, and the latter showing a slight variant of the 16/37 of 38 week :: x/2-2.5x 1st and 2nd fractal series pattern of 17/36 of 37 weeks still :: x/2-2.5x.

The 5 Aug 2024 to 24 October 2024 daily ACWI pattern is interesting. The first fractal is an 18 day 3/6/7/5 day :: x/2x/2-2.5x/1.6x 4 phase fractal series. The second fractal 36 day 2x lower high ended Thursday 17 October with a final high on 14 October and consists of a 10 day (2/4/4/3 day) asymptotic lower low decay fractal series followed by a x/2-2.5x/1.6x growth series of 6/14/9 days ending 17 Oct. This x/2-2.5x/1.5-1.6x growth series is expected to evolve and self-assemble into a 6/14/15 day :: x/2-2.5x/2.5y crash decay series ending 24 October 2024. The 5 August to 24 October 18/42 day (59 day) or 4/9 week (12 week) 1st and 2nd fractal series will form the initial base fractal for the subsequent fractal series ending with a low in 2025.

The October Global Equity Crash Surprise: The Lammert 4-Phase Initial Base Crash Fractal Series: 2/5/5/3weeks :: X/2.5X/2.5X/1.5X

Like other October presidential election surprises, the crash will not have much effect on American voters. The plurality of Americans will vote for their individual autonomy, continuation of American institutions, prudent leadership in maintaining nuclear arms stability, and continued economic support of social programs and labor markets by central banks and central governments. The 1/2 quadrillion dollar equivalent Global Asset-Debt Macroeconomic system is deterministic, self correcting; the self determination of the system in times of excess debt, excess asset creation, and asset overvaluation is simply an order or several orders of magnitude greater than the capabilities of political and central banks' interventions to contain a major self correction of asset overvaluation. The March 2020 post Covid global central bank QE and thereafter QT program to respectively boost and thereafter constrain economic growth have resulted a yotal global equity index proxy, ACWI, 8/24/24/3 of 13-15 month 4-phase self-ordered fractal series. The CCP Chinese markets, a component of the ACWI have fared much worse, under the influence of a historical deflationary housing bubble collapse. The March 2020 to approximately September- October 2024 ACWI Lammert 4 phase fractal is shown below. 

The daily and weekly fractals from 5 August to 25 October which represent the initial 3 month base decay fractal in the above image are shown below.

Added 11 PM EST 15 October 2024:

AN ALTERNATIVE ACWI AUGUST 5 TO 24 OCTOBER 2024 X/2.5X/2.5X/1.6X :: LAMMERT 4-PHASE CRASH FRACTAL SERIES: 8/20/20/13 DAYS

Below is an alternative 4-phase Lammert fractal crash series ending 24 October 2024. From the ACWI closing peak on 26 Sept 2024 a 4/8/8/6 day decay series would contain the terminal 4th fractal 13 days (3/6/6 days) of the 8/20/20/13 day 4-phase fractal series.