A 5 NOVEMBER 2024 ELECTION DAY CRASH: THE 11 SEPT 6/12/15/10 DAY :: X/2X/2.5X/1.6X 4-PHASE LAMMERT CRASH FRACTAL SERIES

Within the US hegemonic 1807 great 4-phase x/2.5x/2.5x/1.5 fractal series of 36/90/90/54 years (with nadirs in 1842, 1932, and 2074) is the interpolated 1982 1st and 2nd fractal series of 13/32 years ending in approximately October 2025. A 14 week fractal series from 5 August to 5 November 2024 will form the incipient crash first fractal base for the weekly decay series ending in about Oct 2025. Since 1982 the US GDP has expanded from 3.3 trillion to 29 trillion, a 9 fold increase, while US debt has expanded from 1.1 trillion to 35 trillion, a 32 fold increase. Excess dollars created by governmental fiscal policy and facilitated by central bank monetary policy have flowed preferentially into equities aided with 20 years of corporate-lobbied legislative buy-back laws while US middle class manufacturing jobs have been expatriated in support of corporate financial goals over national security goals. US % GDP-deficit spending in 2020 was 14.66, the highest since WW2 with persistent 11.7, 5.3, 6.1, and 6.7 % deficit spending in subsequent years yielding a 4 year average of 2-3% annual GDP growth, touted to be the envy of G7 countries. Below is current fractal model of the 5 August 2024 to the 5 November 2024 crash which consists of two daily fractal subseries. This will complete a 16/40 week 1st and 2nd fractal series starting 27 October 2023.

The October Crash of 2024: Fractal self-similarities: 1987 and 2024 (21 Sept to 26-27 Oct 1987 and 11 Oct to 7 Nov 2024)

Equity valuations for Toyota, GM, Ford and Tesla represent basic daily, weekly, and monthly transactional weather vane markers aligned with the real needs of the population base of the pyramid of the asset-debt macroeconomic system. New net quality jobs creation or loss and ongoing debt load create the demand for vehicles, the companies' profits, and stock valuations. Trending vehicle manufacturer stock valuations are a reflection of the health of the net purchasing power of the population base. All manufacturers are following similar monthly, weekly, and daily fractal patterns since March of 2020, a time of Covid demand collapse and low equity valuations. Elon Musk, who has an 11K dollar Tesla EV set to roll out in the summer of 2025 and who is providing 75 million dollars to the Trump campaign, has a vested interest in having leverage against the mighty ICE’s oil and gas industries and vehicle manufacturing industries and in having political capital for the development of an ‘efficient’ massive electrical outlet infrastructure. If the democrats win, he then plays the ‘green’ card to support his tech and business goals Tesla’s operative self ordered monthly, weekly, and daily fractal patterns since March 2020 low are as follows: Monthly: 8/17/11 months :: x/2-2.5x/1.5x’ and 5/10/10 months :: x/2x/2x with the crash expected i the last week of Oct 2024.

Weeky: the weekly correlate of the 6 Jan 2023 5/10/10 month 3 phase fractal series is 17/40/39 of 40-42 weeks:. The terminal 40-42 weeks are composed of a 13/27 of 28-30 week 1st and 2nd fractal series:: x/2-2.5x . The terminal 27 of 28-30 weeks are composed of a 9/19 of 20-22 week 1st and 2nd fractal series x/2-2.5x. The 19 of 20 -22 weeks are composed of two weekly series: a 2/5/4 week :: x/2.5x/2x or 9 week fractal series and a 14 week: 5/7 of 8-10 fractal series: x/2x

Daily: The final 14 weeks starting 5 August are composed of a 5 week series: two subseries: 3/6/7/5 days and 2/4/5 days and a 10 week series: 7/14/currently 12 of 17/9-10 day series ending 6-7 November 2024.

The 1987 and the 2024 SPX 4 phase x/2-2.5x/2.5x/1.5-1.6x crash fractal series’ similarities: 4/9/10/6-7 days verses 6/14/15/9-20 days, respectively. 1987 had a SPX 21 September to 26-27 October 4/9/10/6-7 day :: x/2-2.5x/2x/1.5-1.6x 4 phase crash fractal sequence with the 19 Oct crash day representing day 10 of the 3rd fractal. This occurred relatively early in the incipient growth valuation phase of a 1982 to 2025 13/32 year :: x/2.5x 1st and 2nd fractal series. As such the 26-27 Oct 1987 lows, technically representing double bottoms, were slightly higher lows than the 19 Oct 1987 crash low.

Because in November 2024 asset-debt macroeconomic system is now within a year of the terminal 2025 nadir of the 1982 13/32 year 1st and 2nd fractal series, the 2024 SPX 11 October to 7 November 2024 6/14/15/9-10 day 4-phase crash fractal sequence will likely have a lower low on 7 November 2024 (day 10 of the 4th fractal) than the 25 October 2024 crash low(day 15 of the 3rd fractal).

Precise 2.5X maximum time length 27 Oct 2023 base first fractal interpolated second fractals. 7 Nov 2024 is exactly a 2.5x time ratio to its 27 Oct 2023 to 13 February 2024first fractal less than 74 day base. (13 Feb 2024 starts on a low and ends on a high). The time frame of its second fractal from13 Feb is 184 days or precisely 2.5X. This matches the precise x/2.5x ratio of the interpolated 27 Oct 2023 to 17 Jan 2024 55 day first fractal and its 17 an 2024 to 5 August 2024 138 day second fractal. The nonlinear lower low daily gaps are the characteristic feature of the terminal portion of a second fractal. (See 2005 initial Economic Fractalist website page.)

The October Friday 18 to October Friday 24 incipient 2024-25 Global Equity, Crypto, and Commodity Markets nonlinear CRASH DEVALUATION

The October Friday 18 to October Friday 24 incipient 2024-25 Global Equity, Crypto, and Commodity Markets nonlinear CRASH DEVALUATION: daily and weekly deterministic and mathematical fractal terminal 37-38 week 2ND FRACTAL NON-LINEARITY in the ACWI Oct 2023 16/38 week 1st and 2nd fractal series. In 2025, the US SPX will conclude the fractal self-assembly of a 1982 13/32 year :: x/2.5x 1st and 2nd fractal series. This series is interpolated in a larger US hegemonic 1807 to 2074 36/90/90/54 year :: x/2.5x/2.5x/1.5x Lammert 4-phase fractal series with nadirs in 1842-43, 1932 and 2074 and a 3rd fractal peak in November 2021. The October 2023 16/37 of 38 week 1st and 2nd fractal series is interpolated within the terminal 31 of 32 years of the 1982 to 2025 13/32 year : x/2.5x 1st and 2nd fractal series. From 2025 to 2074 US and global central banks will continue the same aggressive QE money expansion programs (perhaps with central banks borrowing at zero interest rates from each and to other ) following the pattern created after the respective March 2009 and March 2020 housing bubble and 2-3 % mortality rate Covid crashes. (The current 2020-2025 Chinese housing bubble crash is on an order of magnitude greater than the global hosing crash of 2007 to 2009.) The 5 August 2024 to 25 October 2024 final daily fractal crash pathway is interpolated within the final October 2023 16/37 of 38 week :: x2-2.5x 1st and 2nd fractal series. Below are the ACWI, the Russell 2000, and Indian BSE equity composites , the first two showing exactly similar patterns, and the latter showing a slight variant of the 16/37 of 38 week :: x/2-2.5x 1st and 2nd fractal series pattern of 17/36 of 37 weeks still :: x/2-2.5x.

The 5 Aug 2024 to 24 October 2024 daily ACWI pattern is interesting. The first fractal is an 18 day 3/6/7/5 day :: x/2x/2-2.5x/1.6x 4 phase fractal series. The second fractal 36 day 2x lower high ended Thursday 17 October with a final high on 14 October and consists of a 10 day (2/4/4/3 day) asymptotic lower low decay fractal series followed by a x/2-2.5x/1.6x growth series of 6/14/9 days ending 17 Oct. This x/2-2.5x/1.5-1.6x growth series is expected to evolve and self-assemble into a 6/14/15 day :: x/2-2.5x/2.5y crash decay series ending 24 October 2024. The 5 August to 24 October 18/42 day (59 day) or 4/9 week (12 week) 1st and 2nd fractal series will form the initial base fractal for the subsequent fractal series ending with a low in 2025.

The October Global Equity Crash Surprise: The Lammert 4-Phase Initial Base Crash Fractal Series: 2/5/5/3weeks :: X/2.5X/2.5X/1.5X

Like other October presidential election surprises, the crash will not have much effect on American voters. The plurality of Americans will vote for their individual autonomy, continuation of American institutions, prudent leadership in maintaining nuclear arms stability, and continued economic support of social programs and labor markets by central banks and central governments. The 1/2 quadrillion dollar equivalent Global Asset-Debt Macroeconomic system is deterministic, self correcting; the self determination of the system in times of excess debt, excess asset creation, and asset overvaluation is simply an order or several orders of magnitude greater than the capabilities of political and central banks' interventions to contain a major self correction of asset overvaluation. The March 2020 post Covid global central bank QE and thereafter QT program to respectively boost and thereafter constrain economic growth have resulted a yotal global equity index proxy, ACWI, 8/24/24/3 of 13-15 month 4-phase self-ordered fractal series. The CCP Chinese markets, a component of the ACWI have fared much worse, under the influence of a historical deflationary housing bubble collapse. The March 2020 to approximately September- October 2024 ACWI Lammert 4 phase fractal is shown below. 

The daily and weekly fractals from 5 August to 25 October which represent the initial 3 month base decay fractal in the above image are shown below.

Added 11 PM EST 15 October 2024:

AN ALTERNATIVE ACWI AUGUST 5 TO 24 OCTOBER 2024 X/2.5X/2.5X/1.6X :: LAMMERT 4-PHASE CRASH FRACTAL SERIES: 8/20/20/13 DAYS

Below is an alternative 4-phase Lammert fractal crash series ending 24 October 2024. From the ACWI closing peak on 26 Sept 2024 a 4/8/8/6 day decay series would contain the terminal 4th fractal 13 days (3/6/6 days) of the 8/20/20/13 day 4-phase fractal series.

MAXIMUM X/2.5X/2.5X GROWTH; THEN 1.5X DECAY: THE 5 AUGUST TO 14-15 OCTOBER 2024 7/18/18/10-11 DAY EUROPEAN 600 LAMMERT CRASH DECAY SERIES.

5 October 2024 Global equities are the most favored and tax advantaged of all investment instruments. Instead of providing tax advantages for the use of corporate profits for R and D and new product development and maximizing sovereign industrial and manufacturing growth, corporate-influenced legislation has promoted the use of corporate profits for trillions and trillions of dollars for stock buy-backs, further advantaging equity valuations. This is why there is the maximum 2.5x time growth for the self-assembly of 2nd and 3rd growth fractals. After the Oct 2025 crash low for global equities, this maximum time based growth will be the rule for the next 32-33 years. The British European 600 stock index is following a similar Lammert fractal pattern as the global ACWI equity index and the Nikkei composite. While The nikkei has had (and will have) 4 trading day holidays in the 5 August to 14-15 October 2024 time frame, the British European index has had only 1. From the 5 August 2024 low, the British European 600 stock index is following a self ordered self-assembly 7/18/18/4 of 10-11 day :: x/2.5x/2.5x/1.5x maximum time growth 4-phase Lammert fractal series ending 14-15 October 2024. Containing the 1 October 2024 10-11 day 4th decay fractal(2/5/5 days or 2/5/4/3 days) is an interpolated peak 27 September 2024 3/4 of 6/5-6 day :: y/2y/1-6-2y 3 phase Lammert Decay Series.

Added 6 October 2024 Confirmation of the 27 October 2023 to 15 October 2024 1st and 2nd fractals: The Russell 2000 weekly fractals since October 2023 From 27 Oct 2023 to 15 October 2024, the Russell 2000 is following a 16/37 week :: x/2x-2.5x 1st and 2nd fractal weekly pattern. The 37 week 2nd fractal currently at 35 weeks is following an 11/25 of 27 week :: x/2x-2.5x interpolated 1st and 2nd fractal series. The final 11 weeks of the 27 weeks is composed of a 2/4/5/1 of 3 week fractal series ending 15 October 2024. Downward global equity valuation nonlinearily will be evident over the next 7 trading days . If proportional fractal similarity is shared with the 1929 to 1932 decline, this 2/4/5/3 or 11 week 4-phase Lammert crash fractal series will be the 1st fractal base for a 11//22//(5/12-13/11-10/7 = 32)week crash fractal series ending Oct 2025.

27 September 2024 was the final higher high and lower high peak valuations for the ACWI Global Equity Index and the Nikkei, respectively. A 10-11 day crash 4th fractal is now expected from that peak ending 10-11 October 2024.

The 5 August 2024 to 10-11 October 2024 (10 week) 4-phase 2/4/4/3 week :: x/2x/2x/1.5x weekly fractal series correlating to a 8/17/16/10-11 day :: x/2-2.5x/2-25x'/1.5x' 4 phase daily fractal series for the ACWI and a 7/17/15/10-11 day :: x/2-2.5x/2-2.5x/1.5x series for the Nikkei had terminal higher high and lower high peak valuations respectively, on 27 September 2024, the 16th and 15th respective days of the third fractals. A 10-11 day crash is now expected from that peak ending 10-11 October 2024. This 10 week base fractal will serve as the first base decay fractal in a 4-phase fractal series ending the first or second week of October 2025.