Friday, December 12, 2025
The Great December 2025 Incipient Crash: 12 Aug 1982, 13 Oct 2022, 7 April 2025 1st and 2nd Fractal Series - Synergistic - 2x to 2.5x Time Frame Incipient Second Fractal Nonlinearity12 Aug 1982, 13 Oct 2022, 7 April 2025 1st and 2nd Fractal Series - Synergistic - Self-Assembly 2x to 2.5x Time Frame Icipient Second Fractal Nonlinearity
From the Economic Fractalist 15 May 2005 Mainpage Re: 2nd Fractals (Cycles): : "A sudden nonlinear drop in the last 0.5x time period of the 2.5X is the hallmark of a second cycle and characterizes this most recognizable cycle." ..."This means that the second cycle can last anywhere in length from 2x to 2.5x."
In the Window of Power Law Distribution 2nd Fractal Asset-Debt Macroeconomic System Self-Organized Criticality:
The original 7 April 2025 53/133-134 day :: x/2.5x 1st and 2nd fractal series ending 30-31 December 2025 is the correct fractal model with the incipient 1982 13/32 0f 33 year :: x/2-2.5x crash in the final trading days of December 2025.
On 20 November 2025 the asset debt system self-ordered a SPX 5/12 of 12-13/13-12 day :: x/2-2.5x/2-2.5x fractal series to initiate the terminal portion of the 12 Aug 1982 13/32 of 33 year :: x/2.5x 1st and 2nd fractal series; the terminal portion of a 13 Oct 2022 55/113 of 138 week :: x/2-2.5x 1st and 2nd fractal series, and the terminal portion of a 7 April 2025 53/122 of 133-134 day :: x/2-2.5x 1st and 2nd fractal series. The nonlinear crash will be during the last trading days of the December 2025 12-13 day 3rd fractal.
The incipient end December global equity crash will be an affirmation for those economists interpreting the copious data as showing extreme weakness of the American consumer, the American consumer-based economy, and the world economy. It will be a wake-up call for those who measure the economy primarily by equity market performance.
The 10 Oct to 20 November 2025 day subfractal series is now observed as a 6/13/13 day ::x/2-2.5x/2-2.5x fractal series with trend lines better seen on SPX futures. While the SPX has not exceeded its 29 Oct 2025 peak valuation, the Wilshire 5000 and the global ACWI, propelled by rotation of money into the 'safer stocks of the DJIA' had valuation peaks on 11 and 12 Dec 2025.
Will the end December 2025 initial lower low nonlinearity reach below the 7 April 2025 valuations? This nonlinearity is the beginning of about a 45 week progression to a final lower low valuation with an expected 80-90 % loss of equity valuation. There will be sharp valuation counter growth periods within this overall decay time frame.
Subscribe to:
Post Comments (Atom)




No comments:
Post a Comment